Tuesday, December 15, 2015

RNC Will Be Skating on Thin Ice if They Try To Take Down Trump


Image result for rnc rules committee members
For the last week the pundits on TV and the internet have opined about a brokered or floor fight at the Republican convention.
RNC Chairman Preibus cannot change the rules, that’s the job of the rules committee and a source within the committee shared with me that there is no guarantee the rules will be changed.  The rules committee meets in January 2016 to begin discussion on the rules and not specifically rule 40. Reviewing the rules is an ongoing process and over time changes have been made to rules including the change to rule 40 in 2012.
No question about it if the rules committee makes another change so soon to rule 40 the perception will be it was to undermine Trumps campaign.
Rule 40 was changed in 2012 to read:
The rule was changed to require a candidate to have a majority of delegate votes in at least eight states as a prerequisite to nomination.  Prior it was 5 states. The amended rule now poses a serious change in how the game is to be played in 2016. The rule cannot be changed until the delegates arrive at the convention in 2016 and the Rules Committee convenes to establish the new rules of the convention.
Donald Trump has crossed the 40 percent threshold in a new national poll, giving the Republican presidential candidate the largest lead he’s held in any survey so far.
A Monmouth University poll released Monday found Trump taking 41 percent support and opening up a 27-point lead over the next closest contender ahead of Tuesday night’s Republican presidential debate in Las Vegas.
Sen. Ted Cruz (R-Texas) is a distant second place, taking 14 percent, followed by Sen. Marco Rubio (R-Fla.) at 10 percent and retired neurosurgeon Ben Carson at 9 percent. 
The rest of the Republican field barely registers in the poll, with former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush and Ohio Gov. John Kasich taking 3 percent support each, and New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie, businesswoman Carly Fiorina, former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee and Sen. Rand Paul (R-Ky.) each taking 2 percent.
The poll was conducted between Dec. 10 and Dec. 13, in the days after Trump made his controversial call to ban Muslims from entering the United States.

“It has become abundantly clear that Trump is giving his supporters exactly what they want, even if what he says causes the GOP leadership and many Republican voters to cringe,” said Monmouth pollster Patrick Murray.

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